We saw a similar match up for Texas Tech last week when they played Texas. Texas had a stronger than usual revenge factor trying to take revenge on TT for kicking them out of the National Championship game. Despite TT losing many more players than Texas they covered the spread easily and were in the game most of the time. See don't take teams on the revenge angle just because they have revenge.. It does not work as well in college football. Penn State's offensive line has been struggling. They have not run the ball and they have not even been tested this year by a quality opponent. Iowa has too much speed to give up the run and the mid range passes. Expect a close game all the way through.

Two interesting trends dating back to the 2007 season that benefit Iowa. Penn State- Losing ATS + under 2 games now playing a conference as a home favorite is 7-20 ATS since 2007 with a margin of victory of 2.9 points. Iowa... Off an over as a home favorite now away as 10-13.5 is 20-6-1 ATS since 2007 season.


Purdue off a loss, & ATS, plus an under is now a dog 7-9.5... teams falling under those conditions are 24-10-1 ATS since 2007. Notre Dame has been real shaky to start the game and they should have lost against Mich State. We had Mich State as a 10 point dog last week as our POD, and Kirk Cousins missed a WR wide open in the end zone that would have won the game. Pudue's Joey Elliot should have the same type of game one field with lots of passing and offense. Purdue will have to shut down Armando Allen as Notre Dame's usual high octane passing offense should take a hit as they lost Floyd. I don't see anyone being able to replace them.. Golden Tate will try to but I don't see him as a #1 and Clausen with the bummed toe will try to hand the ball off more than usual. Look for TE Kyle Rudolph to have a big game for Notre Dame, but in the end Purdue will be right there with their own passing attack as Notre Dame has yet to prove they can play defense a big weakness and the only reason why this team won't contend for a big time bowl appearance.

Where to find Freddy?